A reasonably educated person trying to make sense of it all, and a little tormented as a result. Thinking aloud, mostly. These opinions rarely reflect the ideas of any of my employers.
Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Craig Thomson: Lawyers rarely improve things
With all respect to the mental acuity required for the job, I've found that involving lawyers rarely makes things better. This probably serves as a "so what" moment for many people who are legally trained.
I met my friend Chris Ziersch the other day who retrained from engineering to law and was vigorously in agreement with me. (buddy contact me if I've misrepresented you)
So I hear the story of Craig Thomson who is defending claims about improper use of funds. Win or lose, he's fucked. You can read about how to donate to him here.
Right or wrong it makes sense to avoid legal action like the plaque. Sure there are those with more money than sense who will use law as a preemptive strike, and I've done my share of running from that. A new breed known as "drone parents" are described as taking legal action before even approaching their kid's teacher about Ann issue the teacher barely noticed.
But as Chris says, using the lawyers should be the last resort. When everything has broken down then call the legal people in, and expect to pay. It's a necessary thing, and a challenging profession.
So the real story of this is about the high cost of justice. It's the only way I feel any empathy for Craig Thomson and - I can't believe this - would spend money to support him.
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Monday, April 29, 2013
A skydive with friends from work..
Jason's handcam. Many thanks, bud.
My "outside vid".Turn the sound down for this one
Turn the sound up for their landings:
Saturday, April 27, 2013
ACCC app fail
The irony is not lost on me. On "The Checkout" this week there was a story on dodgy apps.
A different story showed the ACCC app which had a whole bunch of ACCC content with a piece of functionality to take photos of receipts. Apparently it's not finished yet. Hitting the button just loops me back to the home screen.
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Pseudoscience: An eight minute torture test
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My kinship with Turkey
We were part of an invading force. They bravely defended their land. We tore the heart out of our country but established our honour and resourcefulness. This is a nice piece that suggests we honour the fallen but also remember the grieving parents. And I think of the mums.
Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, who fought at Gallipoli and later led Turkey, knew the parents suffered worst. That is why his famous words on the memorial at Ari Burnu are addressed mostly to the mothers:
Wipe away your tears,
Your sons are now lying in our bosom and in peace.
After having lost their lives on this land
They have become our sons as well.
And around Anzac day over the last few years my path has crossed with Turkish people who I would call friends; Onor Bodur, the Titiroglou brothers and this weekend Hande Akman and her sister. I feel a strange kinship. As I do with Giang Trinh from Hanoi with my (unfunny) joke that 45 years ago we would've met, but looking at each other through rifle scopes. I don't think I'd've stood a chance. Giang would've been defending his land, too.
Often those in mortal combat have more that unites them than divides. It often seems that a system makes enemies of people who could be friends.
Surely that is one of the horrors of war.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Why not try?
Real people real music
My Market Research Society yearbook arrived
"Tram time" coffee shop. I wonder if it works.
Anzac day: I get a little teary
There are times to just shut up, or say good things.
So it begins.
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Coles: $15 is a serious play for the value customer
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
1982: One perfect day
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Souffle
A nice way to think of your audience
Increasingly it looks as though I won't be able to afford to stand in front of classes to pay the bank. But I'll enjoy the privilege for as long as I can.
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Selfish mavericks
Latham was playing the maverick. Mavericks increase their own political currency at the expense of their party’s. They earn acclaim for being “brave” enough not to toe the line but if everyone was a maverick, well, being a maverick wouldn’t be so special.
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A snarling, sneering woman of rock. I liked her.
Chrissy Amphlett is dead. Breast cancer. 53. I liked her a little then, I like her a lot now, as I think about it.
A forerunner to "in your face" women of rock like Pink, and carrying Joplin's legacy of big attitude, she shocked a lot of us. A schoolgirl outfit worn by a woman who almost dared you to not take her seriously.
A ripping 1981 song told me an early home truth "too much too young" and to me shows everything that was good about 1980s rock. Simple, hard, real. Like Chrissy Amphlett.
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Be prepared to fail
I expect many will interpret this as wearing weakness as a badge. Yet those who pretend they don’t stuff up are often wearing a cloak that is brittle and frays. If we can admit failure we can understand where fault lies. If we only blame others for our problems we are doomed to be angry, hopeless and irresponsible.
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Sunday, April 21, 2013
A scary financial position
OK then. A bunch of Australia's spending plans were conceived when our tax base looked stronger. Like them or not, the mining tax and the carbon tax were assumed to be bringing in billions of dollars.
The ass has fallen out of both of those taxes. The mining lawyers did an end run on MRRT and the world price of carbon is about $4, while the government has been planning for it to be about $30.
"Kids, dad has lost his job. We'll be making some money, but we just need to be careful."
Telling me that the Australian economy is strong is irrelevant. Unless the government has ways of extracting that money from the economy (taxes) then it's like being a fan of Adam Scott - he'll be rich and we'll be happy for him, just no better off.
Show me how the Australian government budget is any different to what we need to do at home. Anyone who continues to argue on "how much we need it" (NDIS, Gonski, NBN) is missing the point. They're the kids in the equation. Surely the "rob Peter to pay Paul" education trade off this week made that clear. Government cash is finite.
The budget surplus or deficit should not be thought of as an end in itself, but the result of doing things properly. Responsibly.
I'm not angry. I'm not stirring trouble. I'm fucking scared.
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Advertising: Remind and reinforce
I was watching Insiders this morning and part of the montage include excerpts from channel 7's "Deal or no deal". I wondered why channel 7 would allow the use of the footage and then I thought "why wouldn't they?"
Many people in marketing believe that advertising is about persuasion. Many scholarly articles and many PhDs. Others believe that advertising serves best as a "weak force". So simply having the image in front of hundreds of thousands of ABC viewers - reminding them that the show is still on TV?
Why the hell not?
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Plenty of rain
Depreciation: Understanding the puzzle of resale and residual value
Say you were expecting two more kids in the coming year, could you really stay with the Barina? Or are you actually needing to reassess the use of your car to a larger model. Does it make sense to buy an older larger car that will need replacing after a few years, or to get a new car that will still have a good resale value once the first batch leave the nest?
Cars are a money trap
Haha! I don't need to imagine that one! I did it. In 2003 as we were expecting Jonah, we couldn't afford it but took a $19,000 loan to buy a relatively new Ford Falcon. Three years later I got $7,000 for it. I still have the $19k sitting as a debt in the account. The losing of value is the reason we have this accounting device known as depreciation. I know, as a young man I always dreamt of my car increasing in value but it wasn't gonna happen with a 1978 Torana, more like a Rolls Royce or a 1934 Dodge.
I'm sick of thinking NBN for now
Still, the young guy had put up his own straw man argument. And I'm tired of thinking NBN for now. I got the best "pro" NBN argument from a clever guy called Ryan Kris the other day and will process that for a while. What's not adding value are simpleminded "tin can string" jokes as the revenue base (carbon tax and mining tax) have both been crippled.
Aircraft may be different
Interesting though. I did want to talk to a friend who owns aircraft. I've always believed "if it's got wheels it loses money" and aircraft (technically) qualify. But I remember someone saying that "there's no such thing as an old aircraft" because every part gets replaced sooner or later. Sure enough, the 1975 Cessna 206 has increased in value over the 13 years my friend has owned it, but I shudder to think how much maintenance has cost. So the depreciation expense is down, but maintenance expense is up.
Property has its quirks
So my pilot friend said "it's never as good as property" which on the whole tends to appreciate, with flat spots. And you can earn an income from it. But it think he might have a better "asset to earnings" ratio on his plane than a house. But what a headache. Still, being a landlord is a headache.
Sunday pre dawn musings.
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Orianthi: Hendrix legacy in good hands
From Adelaide, Orianthi first impressed me with this cool song - a wake up call to anyone in a relationship who can only find fault..
Again, a 1980s familiar thumping bass line, cool rhythm guitar, ripping lead breaks and great vocals. The song of the decade.
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Friday, April 19, 2013
USA: Goodwill to not be squandered
The US is enjoying a lot of global goodwill, and I hope that with Barack Obama, the country will not squander it.
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Thursday, April 18, 2013
NBN: The experience curve and our cash position will make us look like dills
In 2003 I bought a USB drive, and I was the coolest kid on the block. It was amazing - it had a flashing LED and I could take everything I need home in my pocket.
USB drive: 256MB - $500. Today's price $2.
In 2005 I bought an MP3 player. How cool! I could listen to music and even my favourite radio programs. That means I could be working in Hong Kong and listen to all of Phillip Adams' late night live from the last week.
MP3 player: 128MB - $390. Today's price $20.
There is a thing called the experience curve. The more stuff you do, the cheaper it gets to do it. We are seeing it with solar panels now, and it happened as far back as with the Model T Ford.
Right at the moment, fibre modems (the boxes in the house) are relatively new technology. The fibre (node to premises) is probably due for some cost reduction too. But most importantly:
The country doesn't have lots and lots of money.
Whatever the reason, we don't have much money. I'm seeing big arguments over numbers the size of $2bn (ie University cuts).
Personally, last year I entertained ideas of buying a new car. Exactly the same arguments as the FTTP idea - upgrade from old, dodgy stuff, set up for the future, perhaps even lower maintenance costs. But for me this year is a little financially uncertain. I needed to reassess my spending.
Surely, surely, a turnaround from a projected (small) surplus to what looks like an $18bn deficit can call for a tightening of the belt. As I have said before the "Fibre to the node" plan is not the palace in the clouds, but it's also not abandoning the idea of telecoms infrastructure. And the experience curve will make the leg from the node to the premises way cheaper (in today's dollar terms) when we do it - even seven years from now.
"Dad, why don't you buy a new Holden Cruze?"
I'd love to, kids, but I'm not sure what the next few years has in store for me, financially. I could make a new car appear in my driveway, but that would involve me taking a loan I might not be able to pay back, or defaulting on a tax debt that I'm accumulating. Either way buying a new car, right now, is dumb. We'll have to go with the Barina for a few more years.
This is not political, unless you choose to see it that way
I have desperately tried to avoid a political argument. I'm avoiding political comment as much as possible for six months. This is purely technical, and financial. In another five years, when we have our "band aid broadband" we will see it as an improvement, but we'll be complaining because the technologies we haven't even dreamt of will have us wanting more. But today, where even two billion dollars is a scary number, the option to save twenty or more seems very sensible.
My bet is that some clever company will devise a workable high speed "Node to Premises" wireless service. No copper, no fibre. We'll see. I am constantly pleasantly surprised by what our super geeks come up with.
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Wednesday, April 17, 2013
Unbundling: The undoing of some
I chatted again tonight, to a guy whose opinion I value. He pointed out that one of the major changes - threats if you like - to some business models is that of "unbundling"
Take music for instance. If you liked a given Beatles song and bought the Sergeant Peppers album then yay! But that was rare.
More often you'd like "Wake me up before you go go" and felt disappointed when the rest of the "Wham" album was crap.
So to where I work a bit, in University education. Students seem to like the Market Research course and think they get a lot out of it for future application. But its a part of the whole degree.
Now I know the value of getting the whole "bachelor of commerce" stamp but perhaps there's a place for the whole unbundled "Market Research" three day course. For practising managers.
Perhaps.
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
Reject fear and most of all, reject hatred
But I can't help but think that these are actions designed to bring out the worst emotions in us. The true battle is for our own soul. We begin to lose that when we start to hate, and fear is a path to that hate.
But I'm angry. And sad. Very sad.
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Sunday, April 14, 2013
Spring Gully sold out in Coles
Lecturer memories of "Down to Earth" laundry liquid
A buddy of mine Paul Newbery who - does some instruction too - was lamenting how his "Rambo" analogies were lost on his students. Age is a pig that way.
I remember a nice lecurer of mine - Anthony Lowe - who used a lot of cigarette marketing examples. Bup boww. Age is a pig.
And then there's me. Speaking of a brand that had a point of difference of being the environmental choice.
Phew! Its not fully dead yet. Cool.
Clear liquid, clear bottle, a daisy showing through the product. This is a brand that owns this position. But perhaps the position is not that much the win you would think. It's a persistent player on the shelf - it's survived since the 80s - but the shelves say that there's plenty more profitable places to be.
But for "Nature's Organics" it's probably a great earner.
Tiger Woods, looking into the eye of right and wrong
So he took a drop, with his loose interpretation of the rule causing him a penalty. Two strokes which if last year would have seen him kicked out. A flash of annoyance and sense of unfairness has possibly cast a cloud over his legacy.
I've found that in these matters it pays to expect others will attribute the worst possible motivations to you. It means that if you manage to achieve something, even the worst naysayers don't have any oxygen. Sure, a bunch of opportunities go begging, but you do have the grounds to say "go away".
So Tiger should probably come back next year.
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University vs Schools: Another shot fired in the politics of division
Surely it's no accident that the natural battle lines become about:
"what's more important, paying for universities or schools?"
Forget the answer, it's a bad question. It seems to simply be another shot fired in a "divide and conquer" approach.
As a bad parent may be tempted to think with three kids - "if they're fighting among themselves they have no time to fight with me" but it's a counterproductive, destructive method.
In defence of any government, though, they're the ones in there and its their job to make it work. The ranking of accountability here is:
- The party in government - way ahead of
- The party in opposition - way ahead of
- Minor parties that have no hope of governing in their own right - way ahead of
- Independent candidates - way ahead of
- Commentators and blog writers, who have no danger of being asked to make anything work.
So it's easy for me to comment, but the divisiveness here still makes me feel uneasy.
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With friends like this....
I broke the news last night to an intelligent and educated friend of mine:
"Emerson just announced it. Labor are ripping 2.8 billion from Univerities' budgets this year"
And to my astonishment his first reflection was "Abbott would do the same if he got in, too, the bastard". Perhaps that's not verbatim, but close.
And that's a telling exchange. I will only be able to say whether the Labor years were better than the Liberal ones in another - say - twenty. But I can attribute blame or approbation where I see it. This is the biggest slug to University funding since Howard in 1996 and it hasn't been glory days since then.
With friends like this, if we want to complain about those bastard politicians, who needs Liberal?
National Broadband Network: A poetic example
Saturday, April 13, 2013
Paul Kelly brilliance: Enhanced in Bluegrass
Bob Corbett, fun and energetic, love the mandolin/banjo thing
Uncle Bill, who first did it Bluegrass around 2000
And the studio version with Uncle Bill
And it was originally a 727, from his 1980s "Comedy"
And if you can't get enough of "Bluegrass Paul", here's "Taught by Experts"
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When being balanced risks every post becoming an inkblot test
This makes my blog a little like an inkblot test.
And similarly, sometimes I get responses that are entirely unrelated to what was going on in my mind when I wrote the post. UPDATE Sep 6, 2016: I have also found that when people wish to write their own story about whether Cullen is a bad guy or a good guy they end up giving away far too much about themselves.
Perhaps there are worse things to be than a human Rorschach Test. In face to face interactions it seems to provide a great complement to my reasonably well tuned bullshit detector.
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Perfect place for a parlor palm
Friday, April 12, 2013
Luigi and Mario: A story of society
But this did not occur by magic. Luigi was giving some of his money to Mario. It meant that Luigi either worked harder or had less for himself.
Mario was a good guy. He didn't fight for more or complain that "the system" was shortchanging him. He knew that he was being given a hand directly by his brother, his neighbour.
Erk. I just dug out this article and it produced a physical response, dragging back childhood memories of how harsh and uncaring (to a child) some of those times felt.
Forget trying to outsmart Google
Forget trying to work out Google's algorithm. Search engine optimisation is about being authentic and staying on message with each of your web pages.
How clever. There was more to it, and it was all amazing too. And the guy is a freaking amazing skydiver as well. What a world.
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Thursday, April 11, 2013
Permanent reorganisation: you think the confusion is accidental?
I have seen businesses do it many a time. Sometimes they use the smokescreen of "continuous improvement" which is a misuse of the very sound HACCP principle of cause identification and corrective action.
But its more like when the casino rotates their croupiers at the Blackjack table, or the interrogators who switch the lights on and off at irregular intervals to their prisoners.
Sometimes the disorientation and the fear is accidental in a reorganisation. Sometimes it's deliberate. If you see a business do it once and then grew from it we might call it an accident.
Combating SIWOTI is a war within oneself
Someone I know just posted a conspiracy theory that cites an "experiment" that is a raw insult to the reader. A girl took some water - microwaved some, stove boiled some. Couldn't grow plants in the microwave water while the "natural" water worked fine. What followed was a pile of conjecture about energy and DNA transformation, as though the little plant test actually showed something.
Acronym for "someone is wrong on the internet." Describes the compulsion to post rebuttals to online nonsense, in the vain hope that it will somehow set the record straight.
Now I know "there are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than dreamt of in your philosophy" so I was wondering if anyone else had done the same experiment. I found that the experiment has been repeated many times although the results have not been reproduced in any way that even approaches credibility.
These are conversations I don't wish to enter into lest I enter a SIWOTI time spiral. And in the process I may be accused of narrowmindedness because I see it that one dodgy experiment gives us nothing to talk about. I feel cowardly and selfish coming and saying it here in my blog but this post is not really about that one little incident, just my own challenge to let these things go. I'm sure many people exercise SIWOTI forbearance when it come to me too, and I appreciate that.
There's so much truly alarming stuff out there that we don't need to be concerned with bunk. And I've already spent too long on this particular SIWOTI crusade.
I did like what this kid did as his own experiment, but it'll cost you seven minutes. And he drew fire too. Someone else's SIWOTI.
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A cool bus ad
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Wednesday, April 10, 2013
Phantom plant, and one for the worriers
It sprung up in a pot I planted out. I didnt know what it was but it looked yummy.
So
You just need to deal with the worriers who think it's up to everyone else to keep their kids and pets safe from poisonous plants.
But I'll be growing a few for next season.
Tuesday, April 9, 2013
Glee and Blues Brothers: Give it up for the music
I like it. Just as in Blues Brothers when Aretha is slinging off at her husband in song, and Jake and Elwood can't help but join in.
Music makes it happen, and I've seen it happen in a few others domains. When I do, I'm inspired.
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Sunday, April 7, 2013
Reverberations of "Les Miserables"
A music teacher lives next door and im hearing a flute - I think - playing "when tomorrow comes" over and again in different keys.
And as I walk around my garden I can reflect on how inspiring "Les Mis" has been, from when I saw it on the stage 20 years ago to when I saw it earlier this year on the screen. Something for everyone.
That is all.
Passing off, anyone?
Saturday, April 6, 2013
Smoke alarms remind me of the power of fear
I chatted on the radio yesterday as the conversation was about the memory of year 2000. I recalled how the milennium bug was a real worry, concluding with "the world runs on fear and for a while the millennium bug was the fear of the day"
And as we go to daylight savings and I prepare to change all my smoke alarm batteries I recall a very early experience with door to door selling and fear appeals. In 1976 some (nice) guy came out to "consult" mum and dad about the fire security of our family house. Some scary photos and perhaps even movies and then the kids (us) were asked to leave while "the adults" had a conversation. The next day the "consultant" was back, putting a "fire detector" in every room. The guy was clearly a better salesman than installer, because it was my dad who was routing around the roof to find the timbers to attach to.
I recall the name of the company as "masterguard" and they may be global, and still playing the same game. This from a forum:
My wife and our friends went to this "Free" dinner last night and learned about how poor the average smoke detector really protects your home. Now the guy wants to come to our apartment to see how well protected we are. Fine, he was nice enough and bought us dinner, plus we are moving 1700 miles away on Saturday. I can't find much info on the web about costs. Their website smacks of MLM speak. Too much info about what you need to fear and not enough about what the products are. I've found one piece of info here and that's it. Sounds like a rip off even if it does protect way better. I have exhausted my own resources and am now turning to OT. I know there are others out there who have run into these people. What do you know?
So my (very world wise) parents paid thousands in today's money for some gadgets because they cared, let a salesman into their house, and into their hearts. Fear is a weapon, and freedom is the resisting of it. We did get some shiny stickers though, that said "fireman save my child" to put on the kids windows. I'm sure the story was that if there was an incident then the fireman would know where to go.
I'm still changing my batteries today. Just good sense. Where there is a gap between good sense and our own behaviour we can often see that fear is the cause.
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Friday, April 5, 2013
Extreme sports require some "just chill" too
I hit the road before the sun came up. I wanted to get out to the dropzone where I'd left some gear, and get back to Mount Barker where I need to be in class.
But I'm here before anything is unlocked. So there's nothing yo do but chill.
Long before I took up skydiving I was tokd that you spend a lot of timr on the ground. The yin and yang of life I suppose. Extreme excitement, extreme chilling.
Thursday, April 4, 2013
Fixing a problem requires system change
My beautiful, dopey dog got out today.
When I moved the mower to the front yard I left the gate open.
To solve the problem requires a change in protocol - if I open the back gate then first the dog must be behind anther gate.
Just hoping I remember is simply doing A and hoping for B. As an ex colleague Sam Wells would say "a system gives the results it was designed to create".
So if you wish to see big changes then make big changes.
A regular user just cost this coffee shop some money
Another thing about regular users in service industries. They tend to take up more time of service staff.
A pleasant chat to a customer is only pleasant for the one having the chat. The people lined up behind you are far less interested in your latest overseas trip.
In many ways trading efficiency for niceness is a false economy. But it does give you the comfort of the familiar. While the many "once a monthers" just go somewhere else.
So my once a week coffee morning ritual can now move up the road. Customers shift for the smallest reasons and the good news is that they don't leave forever. I'm sure I'll be back.
Wednesday, April 3, 2013
A skydive from last weekend
"Robert" caught a break
I got a call from him the other week. From his new desk in a new job with a far better employer than he had.
As I say to those around me "soon this will all be just a bad memory, a war story".
I just need to remember to hear my own words.
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